The Wisconsin Government Accountability Board, which oversees elections in the state, announced that it expects a turnout of between 30%-35% of the voting age population — or 1.3 to 1.5 million people — in Tuesday's primaries for the state recall races.
The GAB released a statement, saying in part:
“Wisconsin has never had a statewide recall primary, which makes predicting turnout difficult,” said Kevin Kennedy, director and general counsel of the G.A.B. “We typically look at history for guidance in predicting turnout. In the last few decades, turnout for September partisan primaries has ranged from 9 percent to 25 percent, but we believe turnout will be higher in this primary because of the strong public interest in the recall elections.”
Kennedy noted that Wisconsin has a hotly contested primary between several candidates for the Democratic nomination for Governor, as well as a smaller Democratic primary field for Lt. Governor. Also, the Republican primary for Governor will bring out voters. In addition, there are four Democratic primaries for State Senate, which include candidates put up by the Republican Party to move the date of the final State Senate recall elections to date to June 5.