Things couldn't be closer the day before the Michigan Republican primary contest. A new snap poll of likely Michigan GOP primary voters conducted on Sunday by Rasmussen shows former Masachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with a two point lead on former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, 38- 36. Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) gets 11 percent and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich sees ten to round out the field.
But a new survey from American Research Group conducted on Saturday and Sunday shows Santorum up by a single point, 36 - 35.
Another snap poll out this morning from Michigan pollster Mitchell Research showed Santorum up by two as the both men battle to the finish. From Rasmussen:
There’s been little dramatic movement among major voting groups since the previous survey. Santorum leads by 15 points among Tea Party Republicans. Romney holds a similar lead among GOP voters in the state who say they are not members of the grass roots movement.
Very Conservative voters prefer Santorum over Romney by a 51% to 28% margin. Romney leads 44% to 30% among those who describe themselves as Somewhat Conservative.
Santorum is ahead 48% to 27% among Evangelical Christian primary voters and now holds a slightly lead among Catholics. Romney is leads 52% to 29% among other Protestants and posts a double-digit lead among primary voters of other faiths.
Sixty-eight percent (68%) of primary voters are now certain how they will vote, but 27% say they still could change their minds before tomorrow.
The new TPM Poll Average of the Michigan GOP primary shows Romney ahead by 1.1 percent at the moment.