A new national survey from Public Policy Polling (D) shows a small 3-point lead for President Obama, 49 percent to 46 percent, in a sample conducted mostly after former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney became the presumptive GOP nominee. The PPP poll also examines how possible vice presidential picks by Romney may boost him in November, showing New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) the most helpful to the Republican cause.
A Romney-Christie ticket would bring the contest even to 47 percent apiece, while a ticket that includes either former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, former Pennylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee all bring the race closer. A Republican pairing with Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) or former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin all make the margin greater.
Both parties are coalescing around their standard-bearers, with Obama up from 79% to 84% of Democrats in the last month, and Romney up from 78% to 82% of the GOP. Obama leads 52-43 with independents, up from 48-42.
Romney’s favorability numbers are still poor, but they have already begun to rebound since it became clear he would be the nominee. In March, only a third of American voters saw him favorably and 58% unfavorably. That is now 39-51. Republicans have quickly joined ranks, moving from only 49-42 to 67-22. Independents have improved their view of him as well, from 29-58 to 36-50, but that is balanced out by Democrats growing even more sour on their autumn foe (20-71 to 14-79).
The current TPM Poll Average shows Romney with a single-point lead at the moment.