President Obama is ahead by a point in the swing state of Iowa, according to a new poll conducted by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) and sponsored by Heath Care for America, an organization supporting the Affordable Care Act. Obama gets 49 percent to Romney's 48 percent overall. That's a reversal from another PPP poll of Iowa conducted at almost the exactly same time, which showed Romney with 49 percent and Obama with 48 percent.
In both cases, the president has large lead amongst early voters, something which more than a third of Iowans took advantage of in 2008. From director of PPP Tom Jensen's analysis:
Obama’s banked a large lead in Iowa among folks who have already voted, getting 64% to 35% for Mitt Romney. That means Romney has a big deficit to overcome in the state over the next two weeks. Obama’s small overall advantage also owes to strong support from women (53/44) and young voters (55/45). Romney is ahead 53/45 with men and 54/42 with those who have yet to cast their ballots.