President Obama leads in Florida, according to a new poll from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling. Obama gets 49 percent to Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney's 48 percent, a reversal from the firm's last poll that saw Romney with 49 percent and Obama with 48 percent. From their analysis:
Obama's leading in Florida based on his strength with women (54/45), African Americans (89/10), and voters under 30 (55/39). Romney is strong with men (53/43), whites (57/39), and seniors (53/46). Romney also has narrow advantages with Hispanics (54/46) and independents (50/43).
Floridians actually trust Romney over Obama to deal both with the economy (50/46) and foreign policy (49/48) so something else is driving Obama's razor thin lead in the state. When asked to consider who won the debates as a whole voters pick Romney by a 47/46 margin, indicating that Obama's wins in the last two debates mostly made up for his overwhelming loss in the first one.
The PollTracker Average of Florida shows a dead heat.