President Obama has a 2-point lead in New Hampshire, according to a new poll from Democratic-leaning Public Poliicy Polling. Obama gets 49 percent to Mitt Romney's 47 percent, a flip from the Romney 49 percent/Obama 48 percent total that PPP found two weeks ago in the state. From their analysis:
Granite State voters narrowly approve of the job Obama's doing, 49/48. They're not terribly fond of Romney with 47% of voters rating him favorably to 51% with a negative opinion. They trust Romney more than Obama by a 49/47 margin on the economy, but they trust Obama over Romney by a 51/46 spread on foreign policy. New Hampshire voters mostly think Obama's victories in the last two debates equaled out Romney's big win the first debate- asked to say who was the winner of the debates as a whole Romney wins out just narrowly, 46/43.
Women are the key group keeping Obama ahead in New Hampshire. He has a 57/39 advantage with them that's just enough to make up for his trailing by a 56/39 margin with men. Romney has a 47/45 advantage with independents, but Obama's overcoming that by winning over slightly more Republican voters (9%) than Romney is Democrats (6%).
The new poll pushes New Hampshire from a toss-up state to "lean-Obama" in the TPM Electoral Scoreboard, powered by PollTracker Averages.